It's pretty interesting to see the consensus change around jobs, and to see just how much the general public hates AI. I actually hope this changes, because AI can bring such important transformative changes to the world. As mass layoffs begin to happen, my guess is the public will over index on this eventuality (massive unemployment armageddon), and possibly miss any critical discussion of greater long-term risks or benefits. We may be totally wrapped up in personal financial crises to contemplate all getting wrecked by the superintelligent deity, or we may be so stressed about getting that UBI payment that we campaign against technological advancements that could lead to rapid scientific discovery and eventual utopia. I tend to think alignment is probably really hard (technically) and the governance concerns seem near-insurmountable, but we really have no idea yet and it might be a coin flip. And we might miss the meaning of both sides of the coin if unemployment is at 20%, and be unwilling and unable to make the correct trade-off.
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